Showing posts with label economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economy. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 20, 2010

A Fresh Look at Financial Security

Tips for Sound Preparation in a Not-So-Sound Economy

We've seen a lot over the last few years. From the collapse of the housing market to large financial institutions closing their doors, our economy is going through unprecedented change. If this state of flux has you wondering about your financial future, we urge you to read on. A little insight and a lot of helpful advice await you.

Our Experts
Enter Terrence Meyer, Jr. and Ed Conarchy.

Meyer is a financial representative for the Strategic Financial Group, Northwestern Mutual, in Los Angeles.

He asserts that for Northwestern Mutual, the goal is not to find the hottest new product. Instead, the philosophy is one of long-term and conservative approach, something he ascribes to as well when he works with clients.

Ed Conarchy is a nineteen-year veteran of the mortgage industry outside the Chicago area. He is also the founder of National Advisors Network, a registered investment advisory firm, and part of the Mortgage Success Source Faculty. Wearing two hats allows Conarchy to give both mortgage and investment advice holistically, something he sees as the future of financial planning.

"As a mortgage planner I was constantly being asked about both," Conarchy explains. Considering the fact that mortgage advisors have access to client information such as income, credit score, taxes and assets, Conarchy felt it made sense to bridge the gap by earning his investment advisor credentials.

The State of the Economy
Over the last several years, people have seen that economic conditions, as well as the housing market, can change quickly.

When asked about his thoughts on rebuilding the economy, Meyer believes it would take a very long time. In his words, "The playing field has changed, and it's not done changing."

Conarchy agrees with Meyer's sentiment. Relating it to the subject of the housing crisis, he says the drop in home values and the overly large inventory of foreclosures are not going away overnight.

Meyer believes that more accountability and government scrutiny are sure to come, something he sees as being positive, but hopes will not have unintended negative effects. While he believes more stringent barriers need to be put in place in order to prevent this type of collapse from happening again, he says it would have to be done in a way that does not "crimp the engine that makes the economy go."

Conarchy feels that while a correction in the supply and demand of homes needs to take place, another necessary component to preventing any further collapse in the housing market is a change in how we view our mortgages and our homes.

"We've always been taught our home is one of our greatest investments," says Conarchy. "And the key to financial security was our ability to pay our mortgage down as quickly as possible." The problem, however, is that the paradigm for financial freedom has changed.

Mr. Conarchy says that while lenient loan requirements started the ball rolling with the housing crisis, what got many people in trouble was they bought too big of a house. According to Conarchy, the idea of buying a home with the intention of selling it at a higher price when the time calls is the equivalent of putting the majority of your money into one stock.

Unfortunately for many people, occurrences such as layoffs, injuries, or the inability to refinance an adjustable rate mortgage put them in a position where they could no longer afford their home. For any potential home buyer, Conarchy suggests they go into it, "Planning for the worst and hoping for the best."

Conarchy believes you should start by looking at a home as the place where you live, as opposed to the investment that is going to bring you financial freedom. Look for a home you can afford if times were to get tough, and at that point search for the best long-term loan you can find. After you purchase your home, concentrate less on paying off the mortgage and more on using any non-essential income for the following goals: saving for retirement, paying off high interest/non tax-deductible debt, creating a 12-month fixed-expense rainy day fund or investing into diversified investments that carry some form of liquidity.

Mr. Meyer believes there are two perspectives every family and business owner should focus on.

The first is offense, or the use of your income directed at financial goals such as buying a home, sending a child to college, and ensuring a comfortable retirement. The second is defense, which beckons the following question: in the event of injury, layoff, or premature death, what measures can you put in place to protect against the interruption of your financial goals? According to Meyer, not having adequate insurance coverage and retirement resources are examples of his point.

While these two methods should go hand in hand, Meyer says for many people it is difficult to strike the right balance and they become entangled. The role of a financial professional is to help clients untangle these priorities, understand their individual needs, and provide them with solutions in conjunction with sound principles and expert advice.

Speaking of the individual, we asked our experts about the financial concerns of their clients.

"It's all about trust," Meyer claims, referring to their trust in him and his company. People want to know that the company helping them achieve financial security will likely be there in the long haul when the need is realized.

Mr. Conarchy says for his clients during this recent downturn, "It's been all about going upside-down on their mortgage." But, he claims that type of worry only occurs when people view their home as an investment, rather than a residence. He urges us to think of our homes like we do our cars, choosing them for lifestyle and need, not as our investment accounts.

The way Meyer sees it, balancing your offense and defense is more important than ever before. It's all about taking personal responsibility for your financial security.

"The myth," Meyer says, "is many people think they will need less income at retirement. The reality is they would want to maintain their same lifestyle and often experience little change in expenditures."

Parting Advice
Meyer suggests meeting with an educated and experienced individual (or team) to do a needs analysis for your family or business. It is also important to work with a strong company and do your research on financial strength.

The key here is to start and take action. Review your goals periodically and stay vigilant about your preparation. The objective is to remove the emotion from your financial decision making. In doing so, you are taking a step forward to securing your financial security.

Conarchy urges people to not give away their liquidity by prepaying their mortgage. Instead of focusing on debt elimination, turn your efforts toward wealth accumulation, but without trying to predict the future of the market.

"Manage your mortgage," says Conarchy. Make sure you have a competitive rate and that you are paying it on time. Don't think of your mortgage as the lump sum bank debt. Rather, think of it as a monthly bill. In terms of refinancing, pay attention to the net monthly after-tax savings in relation to what the refi will cost and how long it will take to break even. If the refi can pay for itself in less than one year then it's a good deal.

Conarchy wrapped things up by stating you should have one major goal with your personal finance - obtaining financial security. This he says has nothing to do with not having a mortgage payment. If you can't sell your home or get money out of it when you need to then what good is it? "I'd much rather have a big mortgage and a big bank account than no mortgage and nothing in my bank account," he claims.

"Our parents didn't have investing tools like IRAs, 401Ks and 529s like we do," says Conarchy. All they knew was to use their house as an investment, so paying it off made sense. He points out that the rules have changed, but somehow the mantra didn't. "Always remember," he says, "Banks will never loan you money when you really need it."

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Wednesday, July 01, 2009

States in Financial Mess

States without budgets as key deadline passes

APGraphic shows budget shortfalls of states’ general fund for

SACRAMENTO, Calif. - States from coast to coast began a new fiscal year Wednesday with no budget plans and with cash quickly running out, sending some to the brink of shutdown and forcing others to furlough workers and cut services.

In California, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger declared a fiscal emergency and ordered state offices closed three days a month to save money as the state sank deeper into dysfunction. State officials plan to pay bills with IOUs starting Thursday.

But the pain extends far beyond the West Coast. The governor of Pennsylvania is proposing a 16 percent tax increase. A budget veto by the Illinois governor left the state with no spending plan at all. Indiana barely avoided a shutdown.

In most states, the debate centers on whether states should be raising taxes to bridge the budget gaps. Schwarzenegger said he wouldn't sign anything that raised taxes or fees beyond what he has already proposed.

"I'm proud of California, even though we have our crisis," the governor said. "No one can point fingers, because as you can see, there are 30 states right now that have their fiscal year starting today that also don't have a budget, so I mean let's not get carried away and just look at California as we are the only state that cannot manage the budget."

The recession has taken a devastating toll on tax revenues and state finances. States had a cumulative $121 billion budget gap in crafting this year's budgets - and the gap would be even bigger without federal stimulus money, said Todd Haggerty, a research analyst at the National Conference of State Legislatures.

"You can't look to any one region that's performing better than the others," Haggerty said. "You can see Arizona and California in the west, Ohio and Illinois in the middle and Pennsylvania and North Carolina in the east."

The NCSL says seven states - Arizona, Connecticut, Kentucky, Mississippi, North Carolina, Ohio and Pennsylvania - have experienced delays or had to extend their sessions to deliberate on the budget.

In California, which has a budget but one that is out of balance, the Legislature will have 45 days to send Schwarzenegger a plan to close a gap now pegged by the governor at $26.3 billion. After that, they can't adjourn or act on other bills until they solve the crisis.

The budget woes will lead to a third monthly furlough day for more than 200,000 state employees, bringing their total pay cut to about 14 percent. The state controller could extend $3 billion worth of IOUs for July.

Businesses that provide services to the state, taxpayers owed refunds and college students who get state help would be given IOUs. Banks are waiting for the state to decide the interest rate, so it's unclear whether people could cash them.

Pennsylvania will delay payments to vendors after a partisan stalemate over the deficit stalled approval of the state budget. Gov. Ed Rendell on Wednesday stood behind his call for a 16 percent income tax hike, saying the budget could not be balanced without it.

Meanwhile, state workers will receive only partial pay on July 17 and July 24, and after that paychecks will be withheld entirely until the impasse is solved. Workers will be paid retroactively. Rendell said 10 banks and credit unions have agreed to help 69,000 state employees by offering them low- or no-interest loans and lines of credit.

In Illinois, Gov. Pat Quinn on Wednesday vetoed the bare-bones budget lawmakers sent him, leaving the state with no spending plan. The House and Senate are expected to meet July 14 to consider an override.

Asked how long government could operate without a budget, Quinn said, "The next few days are crucial."

Mississippi lawmakers left one whole agency - the state's utility regulatory agency - unfunded. The Public Service Commission said it didn't know how it would function, but Gov. Haley Barbour says he can run the agency by executive order.

In Connecticut, Republican Gov. M. Jodi Rell vetoed the Democrats' budget proposal, saying it was not balanced or realistic. She signed an executive order to keep the government running without a two-year budget in place.

In Ohio, a budget impasse intensified over a proposal by Gov. Ted Strickland to put slot machines at the state's seven horse racing tracks, all but guaranteeing lawmakers would need a second temporary budget before they could resolve their differences.

Indiana narrowly averted a large-scale government shutdown after coming to terms on a budget. And Arizona, Indiana, Ohio, Connecticut and Mississippi also were among the other states that raced against the clock to pass budgets.

The mess in California could spread nationwide because of the sheer size of the state economy. The Senate rejected three bills designed to save $5 billion, including $3.3 billion in education funding cuts that had to be enacted before Wednesday.

Senate President Pro Tem Darrell Steinberg, a Democrat, called Republicans' refusal to vote for the measures "an irresponsible position to take."

Associated Press Writers Juliet Williams, Samantha Young, Don Thompson in Sacramento, Julie Carr Smyth in Columbus, Paul Davenport in Phoenix, Christopher Wills in Springfield, Ill., Mike Smith in Indianapolis, Susan Haigh in Hartford, Conn., Emily Wagster Pettus in Jackson, Miss., and Mark Scolforo in Harrisburg contributed to this report.

http://www.robertjrussell.com

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Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Real Estate Outlook: Balancing the News

Sometimes bad economic news comes at you so hard and fast that you forget to notice some of the more encouraging trends that may be underway, like super low mortgage rates, record-setting affordability, new tax credits, and big sales increases in the boom-to-bust real estate markets of Florida, California and Nevada.

Now, this is not to brush aside or minimize any of last week's sobering national economic news. Consumer confidence is way down and it's a serious psychological impediment to home buying.

Rising unemployment is scary. And the fact remains, someone won't consider buying if they are afraid of losing their job.

And of course shaky banks and big losses on Wall Street are all part of the same worrisome picture.

There are, however, some genuinely positive developments out there.

Let's start with housing affordability. What will ultimately get the turnaround ball rolling will be the ability of ordinary consumers, in large numbers, to afford to buy a home with their current incomes at current mortgage rates.

And right now, the affordability equation is at its most favorable point in decades.

In local markets across the country, more households with median incomes can now afford to buy the median-priced house than at any time since 1970, when the National Association of Realtors first began its "Housing Affordability Index."

Thanks in part to rising household incomes and continuing declines in the prices of housing being sold, the index jumped by 3 points in January alone and now stands at its all-time record high.

Here's another significant trend that gets almost no media attention: Almost all economists agree that a huge obstacle standing in the way of a housing recovery is the big overhang of unsold houses in inventory in many local markets.

But inventories have been steadily declining over the past couple of months, and in January alone dropped another 3 percent to the lowest level in more than two years.

We are burning off the excess unsold supply of houses clogging local markets -- and that bodes well for stabilizing prices in the months ahead.

Add in Congress's new $8,000 nonrepayable tax credit for buyers who haven't owned a house during the past three years and you've got the potential to pull hundreds of thousands of people off the sidelines and into the market during the remainder of 2009.

Published: March 10, 2009

by Kenneth R. Harney

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Tuesday, February 10, 2009

America's Most Miserable Cities

Lousy weather, long commutes, rising unemployment and high sales tax. Welcome home.

Chicago would seem to be on quite a roll these days. The city is a leading contender to host the Summer Olympics in 2016. The hometown Cubs had the most wins of any team in the National League last year and are one of the early favorites to win the 2009 World Series. And, of course, one of its own just became the most powerful person in the world (we're not talking about Oprah either, but she's close).

So with all of the good vibes coming out of Chicago, how does it show up as the third worst city on our second annual list of America's Most Miserable Cities?

Lousy weather, long commutes, rising unemployment and the highest sales tax rate in the country are to blame for the Windy City being near the top of our list. High rates of corruption by public officials didn't help

Misery was up around the country in 2008. Market meltdowns, bank blowups and bailouts and cratering home prices often overshadowed the incredibly positive stories of 2008 like the Beijing Summer Games and the historic election of Barack Obama. The highly watched Misery Index spiked as the unemployment rate plus the inflation rate surged to 9.6 in 2008, up from 7.5 the previous year. It was the highest annual level since 1993.

Our own Forbes Misery Measure saw a shuffling of the deck among the top 10 cities, with five new candidates getting a failing grade this year. Topping the charts is Stockton, Calif., which was the runner-up on our list last year.

The Most Miserable City

Stockton ranks in the bottom seven in four of the nine categories we looked at: commute times, income tax rates, unemployment and violent crime. Only New York City has a higher income tax rate than what Stockton, and all California residents, are forced to pay.

Stockton was ground zero for the housing boom and now the subsequent bust. Home prices more than tripled between 1998 and 2005 and then came crashing down last year. Stockton had the country's highest foreclosure rate last year at 9.5%, according to RealtyTrac, an online marketer of foreclosed property. Things are not looking much brighter in 2009 as housing prices are expected to fall another 36% on the heels of a 39% drop in 2008. Also, unemployment is expected to jump to 13.3% from 10.4%, according to economic research firm Moody's Economy.com.

"We are engaging the entire community and encouraging everyone to get involved and help us find solutions that meet the needs of our community," says Stockton Mayor Ann Johnston. "Volunteerism is encouraged, looking out for your neighbor, and taking personal responsibility where individuals can make a difference. We are partnering with all community organizations--schools, churches, non-profits-- to provide support services and help individuals and families get through these difficult times."

We compiled our rankings by looking at the 150 largest metropolitan statistical areas in the U.S., which meant those with a population of at least 378,000. We ranked those metros on nine factors: commute times, corruption, pro sports teams, Superfund sites, taxes (both income and sales), unemployment, violent crime and weather.

For this year's ranking, we added the corruption component. We used the criminal conviction of government officials in each area over the past decade as compiled by the Public Integrity Section of the Department of Justice. This division of the Justice Department was created in 1976 to focus on "crimes involving abuses of the public trust by government officials."

A Little Corruption Problem

The U.S. Attorney's Office for the Northern District of Illinois, which includes Chicago, has been very busy in recent years. They convicted 385 public officials of crimes over the past decade, a per capita rate that puts it in the bottom third of big U.S. metros.

The Northern District office boasts of recent successful prosecutions, including "a corrupt former governor of Illinois, Chicago officials who rigged city hiring, individuals who lied about their support of foreign terrorism, corporate executives who cheated public shareholders and traditional organized-crime bosses who were responsible for notorious murders."

Illinois' record of public corruption, particularly in the governor's office, is staggering. Five of the past nine governors have been charged with crimes, and three, as of now, have served time in prison. Whether former Gov. Blagojevich will do any jail time is still to be determined.

The misery in Chicago runs much deeper than just corruption, though. Unemployment is expected to surge to 9.2% in 2009, up from 6.6%. The Tribune Co. is mired in bankruptcy, while big local employers like Midway Games, Motorola and the University of Chicago Medical Center have all announced big layoffs.

Residents have been showing their dissatisfaction with Chicago with their feet, perhaps fed up by the average low temperature of 17 degrees in January. There has been a net migration of people out of Chicago for seven straight years, a trend that is expected to continue. And for all of the recent success of the lovable Cubs, last year marked the 100th straight season without a World Series championship. The title drought is 40% longer than any other major professional sports team.

Memphis Blues

Sandwiched between Stockton and Chicago is Memphis, Tenn. The home of FedEx has an incredibly high rate of violent crimes, with only Detroit faring worse. The 1,218 violent crimes per 100,000 residents is more than twice the rate in the New York City metro area. The city's sales tax and rate of government employees committing crimes also fall within the 10 highest in the U.S. Pro sports has been a mess in Memphis in recent years as well. The city's lone major franchise, the Memphis Grizzlies, has lost 74% of its games during the past three years, the worst in the NBA.

Detroit relinquished its 2007 crown of most miserable city despite a memorable 2008 that included a jailed mayor, the further deterioration of the auto industry and the NFL's first zero-win, 16-loss season.

The Motor City benefited from our revised criteria this year (we added sales tax and sports teams in addition to corruption). Its 6% sales tax is one of the lowest in the country. The success of Detroit's winter sports teams more than offset the ineptitude of the Lions. The Red Wings and Pistons won two-thirds of their games, including a Stanley Cup title for the Wings.

By Kurt Badenhausen, Forbes.com

Feb 6, 2009

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Friday, February 06, 2009

Jobless rate jumps to 7.6%, 598,000 Jobs Lost

Jobless rate jumps to 7.6 percent, 598K jobs lost

WASHINGTON - Recession-battered employers eliminated 598,000 jobs in January, the most since the end of 1974, and catapulted the unemployment rate to 7.6 percent. The grim figures were further proof that the nation's job climate is deteriorating at an alarming clip with no end in sight.

The Labor Department's report, released Friday, showed the terrible toll the drawn-out recession is having on workers and companies. It also puts even more pressure on Congress and President Barack Obama's administration to revive the economy through a stimulus package and a revamped financial bailout plan, both of which are nearing completion.

The latest net total of job losses was far worse than the 524,000 that economists expected. Job reductions in November and December also were deeper than previously reported.

With cost-cutting employers in no mood to hire, the unemployment rate bolted to 7.6 percent in January, the highest since September 1992. The increase in the jobless rate from 7.2 percent in December also was worse than the 7.5 percent rate economists expected.

All told, the economy has lost a staggering 3.6 million jobs since the recession began in December 2007. About half of this decline occurred in the past three months.

"Companies are in survival mode and are really cutting to the bone," said economist Ken Mayland, president of ClearView Economics. "They are cutting and cutting hard now out of fear of an uncertain future."

Factories slashed 207,000 jobs in January, the largest one-month drop since October 1982, partly reflecting heavy losses at plants making autos and related parts. Construction companies got rid of 111,000 jobs. Professional and business services chopped 121,000 positions. Retailers eliminated 45,000 jobs. Leisure and hospitality axed 28,000 slots.

Those reductions swamped employment gains in education and health services, as well as in the government.

Just in the 12 months ending January, an astonishing 3.5 million jobs have vanished, the most on record going back to 1939, although the total number of jobs has grown significantly since then.

Employers are slashing payrolls and turning to other ways to cut costs - including trimming workers' hours, freezing wages or cutting pay - to cope with shrinking appetites from customers in the U.S. and overseas, who are struggling with their own economic troubles.

The average work week in January stayed at 33.3 hours, matching the record low set in December.

With no place to go, the number of unemployed workers climbed to 11.6 million.

Over the past 12 months, the number of unemployed has increased by 4.1 million, and the unemployment rate has risen by 2.7 percentage points.

Job hunters also are facing longer searches for work.

The average time it took for an unemployed person to find any job - full or part time - rose to 19.8 weeks in January, compared with 17.5 weeks a year ago, underscoring the increasing difficulty the out-of-work are having in finding a new job.

Workers with jobs saw modest wage gains.

Average hourly earnings rose to $18.46 in January, up 0.3 percent from the previous month. Over the year, wages have risen 3.9 percent.

An avalanche of layoffs is slamming the nation from a wide swath of employers.

Caterpillar Inc., Pfizer Inc., Microsoft Corp., Estee Lauder Cos., Time Warner Cable Inc., and Sprint Nextel Corp. are among the companies slicing payrolls. Manufacturers - especially car makers - construction companies and retailers have been particularly hard hit by the recession. Talbots Inc., Liz Claiborne Inc., Macy's Inc. and Home Depot Inc. are all cutting jobs. So are Detroit's General Motors Corp. and Ford Motor Co.

Americans cut back sharply on spending at the end of last year, thrusting the economy into its worst backslide in a quarter-century. The tailspin could well accelerate in the current January-March quarter to a rate of 5 percent or more as the recession drags on into a second year, and consumers and businesses burrow deeper.

Vanishing jobs and evaporating wealth from tanking home values, 401(k)s and other investments have forced consumers to retrench, which has required companies to pull back. It's a vicious cycle where the economy's problems feed on each other, perpetuating a downward spiral.

Many economists predict the current quarter - in terms of lost economic growth - will be the worst of the recession.

With fallout from the housing, credit and financial crises - the worst since the 1930s - ripping through the economy, analysts predict 3 million or more jobs will vanish this year even if lawmakers quickly approve Obama's stimulus plan, which has ballooned to more than $900 billion in the Senate.

Obama has repeatedly pressed Congress to swiftly enact a package of increased government spending, including big public works projects and tax cuts, to revive the economy and create jobs. He says his plan will save or create more than 3 million jobs in the next two years.

But the recession has proven stubborn. Despite record low interest rates ordered by the Federal Reserve and a raft of radical programs, including a $700 billion financial bailout, consumers and businesses face high hurdles to borrow money. Foreclosures are skyrocketing, home prices are sinking and Wall Street remains on edge.

For information about Insurance - visit: http://www.insurancepricedright.com

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Saturday, January 24, 2009

Pull Up Stakes, Move Where Home Prices Grow

by Broderick Perkins

Americans are staying put more then ever, but when they do move many of them do so for housing-related reasons, say, to buy a new home or find a better neighborhood.

And, if previous migration patterns are any indication, those trends could bode well for those seeking homes with equity gains to come. It's also pretty good news for housing markets rife with inventory.

That's all provided home buyers can get to market with the right stuff.

Here's the scoop.

"American Mobility Who Moves? Who Stays Put? Where's Home?" a new Pew Research Center Social & Demographic Trends survey found that most Americans have moved to a new community at least once in their lives, but a record low number changed residences in recent, more economically troubling years.

In 2007, when Americans did move, their net migration patterns reveal much moving to the South, with far fewer moves into the West and Northeast, according to Pew.

Also, as the two coastal markets' home prices began to sink, home prices held best where net migration was greatest, in the South, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency's (FHFA, formerly the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight, OFHEO) Home Price Index (HPI) for the last quarter of 2007.

Home prices played a key role in the shift South, according to an earlier report this year from the Brookings Institution, "Housing Bust Shatters State Migration Patterns".

The Brookings report said the current migration pattern shift is a reversal from a half decade ago when Americans migrated to booming housing markets in the West and Northeast, often in search of lucrative real estate investments, including first and second home buys with the promise of skyrocketing appreciation.

The current reversal of the rush-to-boom-towns pattern has left behind greater inventories of more affordable homes as Americans head for previously more affordable housing markets with greater price strength.

In 2008, home prices have remained strongest throughout much of the South, according to the FHFA's HPI for the third quarter of 2008.

Alabama, Kentucky, North and South Carolina, Oklahoma, Texas and Tennessee, all revealed price increases of 1.4 percent or better, year-over-year in the third quarter this year. Likewise, North Dakota (at 4 percent, the highest in the nation) and South Dakota (3.9 percent), Montana, Wyoming and Maine all saw some of the greatest price increases in the nation during the same period. Other southern states Arkansas, Kansas, Louisiana, Mississippi and West Virginia, along with Iowa, saw smaller price gains, but gains nevertheless.

The rest of the nation's home prices by state were in the red or flat.

"In sum, there appears to be a migration correction going on. We're at the beginning of a leveling off of migration between unaffordable and affordable America. As with the broader economy, we don't know how much longer it will last," Brookings reported early this year.

According to the more recent Pew report, net migration to the South appears to be picking up steam.

Pew reports while the 2007 migration pattern shows decidedly lopsided net migration to the South, the earlier 2005-2007 pattern revealed less lopsided migration, but nearly equal net migration from one region to the next.

The Pew report examined U.S. Census data, but also surveyed 2,260 Americans to learn more about the wheres and whys of migration patterns.

The ties that bind

The Pew report found that while the migration trend is toward more affordable housing markets with greater price strength, fewer people are pulling up stakes.

Only 13 percent of the U.S. population changed residences between 2006 and 2007, the lowest share since the Census Bureau began to publish statistics on this topic in the late 1940s.

But that means those who do migrate for housing are likely to find less competition and more bargains.

"The annual migration rate, which held at 20 percent through the mid-1960s, has drifted downward since then before hitting its low last year, with the recent housing market slowdown perhaps playing a part," Pew found.

Pew's main findings also include:

  • Movers most frequently said they pulled up stakes for better job or business opportunities (44 percent); because their new community is a good place to raise children (36 percent) or because they have family ties there (35 percent).

    The report also cites Census data which says "Most Americans who move relocate within the same county. About half of all moves are for housing-related reasons, such as buying a new house or moving to a better neighborhood."

  • Those who did not move said they remained because of family ties (74 percent); the desire to remain where they grew up (69 percent) and their belief that their communities are good places to raise children (59 percent); for job or business opportunities (40 percent).
  • Four-in-ten Americans say they are very likely or somewhat likely to move within five years. Among those especially likely to say so are younger people, unmarried Americans and the foreign born.

Making a savvy move

To make a move elsewhere pay off:

  • Learn the game. Obtaining general knowledge about the home-buying process and the real estate market where you'll live. Buyers who don't know the market tend to low ball and alienate sellers.
  • Get local smarts. A buyer's market can be designated by a small community, larger region or greater geographic area. Local smarts will prevent you from paying a seller's market price in a buyer's market.
  • Buy smart. Buy the least expensive house on the best block; buy into the least expensive neighborhood in the best community; buy into the least expensive city in the best region.
  • Bring money. Even motivated sellers aren't going to wait around for your money to show up. Get your credit report checked and in order. Get your loan approval guaranteed. Lock in your mortgage rate.
  • Buy for keeps. Buy because you need a home, because you plan to stay put for awhile and enjoy the appreciation end of your investment.

For more information about housing & real estate visit: http://www.robertjrussell.com

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